Archive for February, 2008:

REC IPO Listing Price

Rural Electrification Corp prices IPO at Rs 105 a share

State-run lender Rural Electrification Corp has priced its initial public offer at Rs 105 a share, at the top end of its indicated price band, a senior official said on Monday.

“The board has approved 105 rupees. The group of minister’s has also concluded their meeting. Although we don’t have official word, it is likely to be the same price,” Finance Director HD Khunteta told reporters.

REC’s 156-million share offer attracted applications for 27.91 times the share on offer. While the qualified institutional buyers segment was subscribed 39.3 times, retail portion was subscribed 7.7 times.

“We expect to list the shares around 13th-14th of March,” Khunteta said. The company had indicated a price band between 85 rupees and 105 rupees per share for the sale.

At 105 rupees a share, the offer will raise 16.4 billion rupees. The issue comprises of equal parts of fresh shares and a stake sale by the federal government, bringing its holding down to 81.8 percent from 100 percent now.

REC’s share offer is the first share sale in a state-run power firm since the government divested 13.6 percent in transmission utility Power Grid Corp in October 2007, raising 29.8 billion rupees

L&T drops plan for Infotech IPO

Larsen and Toubro on Monday said it is not going ahead with its IPO plan for its IT company, L&T Infotech, because of the volatile global market condition.

“We are dropping plans of an IPO for Infotech in 2008 because the markets are volatile,” L&T CMD A M Naik told reporters.

Earlier, L&T officials had said Infotech would be listed in 2008. However, the heavy engineering major would look for an Infotech IPO in 2009, he said. “If we go now for an IPO, we won’t get better valuation,” Naik said.

Two major companies have withdrawn their IPOs earlier this month because of undersubscription. They are Emaar MGF and Wockhardt Hospitals. Emaar planned to raise Rs 6,400 crore and Wockhardt Hospitals Rs 640 crore

RIL gas find in Mahanadi basin block

Reliance Industries Ltd announced on Tuesday that it had struck gas in the NEC-OSN 97/2 (NEC-25) block located in the NEC-Mahanadi offshore basin, off the Orissa coast in Bay of Bengal.

This shallow water block covers an area of 10,755 sq km and water depths ranging between 20 metres and 600 metres.

This is the eighth discovery in the block. RIL had earlier struck six consecutive commercial discoveries in this block, for which the development plan has been submitted to the Directorate General of Hydrocarbons for approval.

The block was awarded under the bidding round of NELP-I. RIL holds 90 per cent participating interest and the rest is held by NIKO Ltd.

This discovery, named ‘Dhirubhai–40’ has been notified to the Centre and DGH

REL announces move to buy back shares

Board meeting on March 5 to consider the proposal.

The Anil Dhirubhai Ambani group-promoted Reliance Energy Ltd (REL) has proposed a buyback of its shares.

The management has not stated any particular objective for buyback, but a press release said it has convened a board meeting on March 5, to consider the proposal.

The move comes just two days after Reliance Power, another group company in which REL owns 45 per cent, offered bonus shares to its shareholders in the ratio of 3:5.

According to industry watchers, one reason for the buyback could be to keep the share price from falling. The REL stock has lost about 36 per cent from its peak of Rs 2,631.70 in January and it currently trades at Rs 1,697.25.

Typically, managements initiate a buyback if they believe their companies’ shares are undervalued and that the market price does not reflect the fundamentals. By supporting the stock price at a certain level, the company can absorb any selling by investors, they point out.

Buyback options, however, require spare cash. The company’s reserves and surplus were approximately Rs 9,000 crore at the end of March 2007.

Going by the market regulator’s rule that companies can invest up to 25 per cent of their reserves on share buybacks, the amount spent on acquiring the shares could be in the region of Rs 2,250 crore.

The Rs 6,575-crore power utility was sitting on cash and cash equivalents of approximately Rs 7,500 crore, according to the balance sheet for March 2007.

REL had consolidated cash and bank balances of Rs 2,226.33 crore and quoted investments of Rs 4,446.33 crore, the market value of which is mentioned as Rs 4,550 crore. It also has some additional investments.

However, the cash and cash equivalents could be higher at about Rs 10,000 crore, as at the end of December 2007, assuming some infusion of funds by the promoters and a rise in the value of investments.

REL’s paid-up equity as of March 2007 is Rs 228.57 crore and has increased to Rs 236.53 crore as on February 4, 2008, with the conversion of some foreign currency convertible bonds (FCCBs) into shares.

REL’s subsidiary, Reliance Power, raised about Rs 11,000 crore through an initial public offer last month at a price of Rs 450 per share and Rs 430 per share for retail shareholders.

The promoter and promoter group hold 34.68 per cent in REL, with the majority 34.04 per cent with Anil Ambani’s AAA Project ventures Pvt Ltd.

While Anil Ambani’s personal holding is just 0.06 per cent (139,437 shares), his son Jai Anmol A Ambani and wife Tina Ambani hold 0.05 per cent each, according to the shareholding information given to the stock exchanges as in December 2007. Institutional investors hold 44.74 per cent in REL.

While announcing the bonus shares for Reliance Power, Anil Ambani had said he would transfer 2.6 per cent of his personal holdings in Reliance Power to REL, worth Rs 4,200 crore.

This move was to allay concerns that the shareholders of REL would suffer because the bonus issue was restricted only to non-promoters of Reliance Power.

Recently, fast moving consumer goods major Hindustan Unilever completed its buyback of shares, spending Rs 626.28 crore picking up and30 million shares at an average price of Rs 207.13 per share

Gateway Distriparks

Gateway Distriparks

CMP: Rs 116.85

Target price: Rs 175

Merrill Lynch has retained its buy rating on Gateway Distriparks, with a price Target of Rs 175. “GDL is going ahead with its plans to raise funds for Rail Freight subsidiary in which it currently owns 85%; the deal is expected to be completed in 1QFY09. Infusion of funds by private equity would provide a benchmark valuation for the company and could potentially re-rate the stock,” the Merrill Lynch note to clients said.

“Expansion on container rail business is on track and this is expected to lead to significant revenue growth in FY09 and FY10. However, concerns on profitability remain during the ramp-up phase,” the note added

Tata Motors

Tata Motors

CMP: Rs 702.1

Target price: Rs 764

IDFC-SSKI Securities has assigned a ‘neutral’ rating to Tata Motors with a price Target of Rs 764. “Despite strong freight availability and stable freight rates, truck sales have been adversely impacted due to rampant overloading and stringent lending norms.

We expect Tata Motors’ truck volumes to recover in FY09 on a lower base, good freight availability and a likely easing of interest rates,” the IDFC-SSKI note to clients says.

“However, a delay in proposed revamp of the PV portfolio, possibly due to excessive focus on Nano, has postponed volume and market share recovery. We expect 15% revenue CAGR and a slower 10% net profit CAGR for Tata Motors over FY07-10,” the note added

Tulip IT Services

Tulip IT Services

CMP: Rs 1,012

Target price: Rs 1,348

Networth Stock Broking has initiated coverage on Tulip IT Services with a ‘buy’ rating and a price Target of Rs 1348. “Tulip’s core business relating to network integration and data connectivity is finding large acceptance and deployments … thereby creating large opportunities to be explored,” the Networth note to clients said.

“Tulip is now set to expand its customer base exponentially over the next few years by virtue of a) its ability to provide services in locations that present technical constraints for other competitors, and b) its bandwidth optional services that allow the company to penetrate customer segments like dealers and C&F agents,” the note added

Idea Cellular

Idea Cellular

CMP: Rs 112.20

Target price: NA

Brokerage house UBS Securities is recommending its clients to start accumulating shares of Idea Cellular, saying the management is taking the right steps to create shareholder value.

“Idea Cellular is focused on execution and their current outsourcing contracts with Ericsson and Nokia-Siemens address scalability issues. With Indus Towers, Idea has been able to not only gain access to large footprint of towers improving its speed to market but also monetise its tower portfolio,” the UBS note to clients says.

“We believe that Idea Cellular is less understood by the market currently as most investors focus on the relatively larger capitalisation stocks such as Bharti Airtel and Reliance Communications,” the note adds

Sobha Developers

Sobha Developers

CMP: Rs 811.85

Target price: Rs 1,172

Morgan Stanley has maintained its ‘overweight’ rating on Sobha Developers, saying it was best placed to ride the buoyant trend in the property market.

“We view Sobha’s competitive positioning favourably, given the company’s strong management team, sizeable landbank in first-and second-tier cities, strong execution capabilities and reasonable valuations,” the Morgan Stanley note to clients says.

“Sobha is currently viewed as a ‘one city developer’, as Bangalore accounts for 95% of its ongoing projects. However, within 12 months, we expect the company to launch projects in 7-8 new city markets (12-14 cities in 3-5 years), which would make it a pan-India player,” the note adds

M&M Finance

M&M Finance

CMP: Rs 310

Target price: NA

Prabhudas Lilladher has assigned an ‘outperformer’ rating to M&M Finance, and has forecast an earnings per share of Rs 15.3 for the current financial year and Rs 20.2 for next year. “M&M Finance currently has a loan book of Rs 67.2 billion, growing at 18.2% year-on-year,” the Prabhudas note to clients says.

“The company has one of the largest network of 1,200 dealers (M&M and non M&M) across the country and its success lies in its ability to understand the rural market and its localised employee base, which speeds up the collection process. The company plans to replicate its success in vehicle financing business to personal and home loan segments as well,” the note adds

Oscar Awards 2008: List of winners

The complete list of winners at the 80th annual Academy Awards, presented Sunday night at the Kodak Theatre in Los Angeles:Best Motion Picture: No Country for Old Men.

Lead Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood.

Lead Actress: Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose.

Supporting Actor: Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men.

Supporting Actress: Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton.

Director: Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men.

Foreign Language Film: The Counterfeiters, Austria.

Adapted Screenplay: Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men.

Original Screenplay: Diablo Cody, Juno.

Animated Feature Film: Ratatouille.

Art Direction: Sweeney Todd the Demon Barber of Fleet Street.

Cinematography: There Will Be Blood.

Sound Mixing: The Bourne Ultimatum.

Sound Editing: The Bourne Ultimatum.

Original Score: Atonement, Dario Marianelli.

Original Song: Falling Slowly from Once, Glen Hansard and Marketa Irglova.

Costume: Elizabeth: The Golden Age.

Documentary Feature: Taxi to the Dark Side.

Documentary Short Subject: Freeheld.

Film Editing: The Bourne Ultimatum.

Makeup: La Vie en Rose.

Animated Short Film: Peter & the Wolf.

Live Action Short Film: Le Mozart des Pickpockets (The Mozart of Pickpockets).

Visual Effects: The Golden Compass.

Academy Award winners previously announced this year:

Honorary and technical Oscars: Robert Boyle; Eastman Kodak Co.; David A Grafton

Is it profitable to take fresh positions in Reliance Power ?

The board of Reliance Power is due to meet this Sunday to discuss the bonus share issue.

The discussion will revolve around two things. One is the bonus ratio and second is the fair price, the current market price of the stock which is fairly valued as the stock is going to ultimately correct to that appropriate value after the bonus shares are issued. Suppose a person takes a position today at Rs 420 per share, if the bonus ratio is 1: 5, the cost price is going to come down to Rs 350. If its 1:4, then it works to Rs 336. At 1:3, it is Rs 315 and at 1:1, the cost price is going to be Rs 210. So, that is the cost of acquisition for individual players.

The second thing an investor will need to check is what is the fair price. Let us consider a scenario of the bonus ratio being 1:5. The fair price would then be Rs 350, without bonus or ex-bonus. Due to only some shareholders getting bonus shares, the ex-bonus value is going to be Rs 343. So, my cost of acquisition is going to be Rs 350. But the stock price is going to stabilize at around Rs 343, which is the base case scenario. Hence, I will make a loss of about Rs 7 per share.

A bonus ratio of 1: 5 and an equilibrium price of Rs 350 is the scenario which the market is taking.

But in the second case, where the bonus ratio is 1:3 and the fair price is Rs 350, the stock is going to stabilize at around Rs 339. So, one would make a profit of Rs 11 per share. One has to be very confident about what the bonus ratio and the fair price would be. These are the various scenarios which one can play out.

To simplify, I have done some analysis looking at what one believes should be the fair price to make a profit. If one believes that the bonus ratio is going to be 1:5 and the fair price is above Rs 357, then there is money to be made. At 1: 4 it is Rs 344, at 1:3 it is Rs 326, and at 1:2 it is Rs 294. At 1: 1, the market value should be Rs 231, which is about Rs 190 discount to the current market value. Only then there would be some money to be made.

It is actually too good to be true that money can be made. A few market analysts say that the various scenarios could pan out. There is a lot of negative sentiment attributed to this particular stock from the listing. That is the reason why people may not be going overboard on this scrip. So, one may not know what Reliance Power is going to pull from under its sleeve apart from this bonus issue

Cashing in on pollution

(Fortune) — When General Motors closed down a manufacturing plant in Boisbrand, Quebec, a private investment company called Cherokee Investment Partners bought the tainted industrial site.

After Burlington Mills shuttered a textile factory in Mooresville, N.C., Cherokee acquired the property even though it was contaminated by asbestos and toxic chemicals known as PCBs.

And just across the Hudson River from Manhattan, Cherokee and developer Donald Trump are tackling another dirty job. They intend to build homes, apartments, stores and a world-class golf course atop four garbage dumps in the New Jersey Meadowlands.

Like a value investor who buys out-of-favor stocks, Cherokee is a real estate investor company that sees opportunity in assets that others don’t want. Based in Raleigh, N. C., Cherokee buys properties known as “brownfields” that have been polluted and abandoned, cleans them up and either sells or redevelops them.

Cherokee launched its first private equity fund in 1996, raising money from institutional investors and high net worth individuals; the company takes about a 1.5% management fee and 20% of the profits. Since then, Cherokee has raised more than $2.1 billion and cleaned up more than 500 sites in the United States, Canada and Europe. It has acquired hollowed-out Kmart stores in Canada, a General Mills (GIS, Fortune 500) flour mill in Vallejo, Ca., industrial properties formerly owned by United Technologies (UTX, Fortune 500) and Halliburton (HAL, Fortune 500), and an abandoned Shell Oil (RDSA) refinery in Trieste, Italy.

“It’s a contrarian strategy,” says Tom Darden, Cherokee’s chief executive. “We try to find value in something that’s unpopular.”

But there’s more to Cherokee than cleaning up pollution, as I learned last week when I met Darden in Washington, D.C. The soft-spoken 52-year-old executive has had a passion for the environment since his days as a Morehead Scholar at the University of North Carolina, where he wrote his senior thesis about impact of globalization on the environment in the developing world. He earned a masters in environmental planning, and went on to Yale Law School, intending to be an environmental lawyer.

Instead, Darden spent several years as a consultant at Bain & Co. before returning home to Carolina to take over his father-in-law’s brick business. He helped revive the business with a “green to gold” strategy, using waste sawdust instead of costlier fossil fuels to power the firm’s brick plants. He also learned how to clean up pollution after acquiring brick factories on contaminated sites.

Darden soon saw that the environmental benefits of redeveloping brownfields go beyond the process of removing, sealing or neutralizing contaminants. Because brownfields are often located in or near urban areas, the new homes, stores or offices built on the sites are centrally located close to public transport.

“It’s density versus sprawl,” says Darden. “One of our goals is always to fill in the holes, rather than build out at the edges.”

So, for example, in Boisbriand, Cherokee and its partners have begun to build energy-efficient homes and apartments, retail, and either office or light industrial buildings on the site north of Montreal. They want to get an old transit line working again, and plan to build three miles of pedestrian paths to connect homes, schools and stores. One goal is to meet a new standard called Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design for Neighborhood Development (LEED-ND), which is being drafted by the U.S. Green Building Council, the nonprofit that sets standards for green buildings.

In Mooresville, Cherokee and its partners will preserve five historic mills and add stores, offices and homes to create what will look like “a turn of the 20th-century industrial village.” The $150-million project is still in the planning stages, but local officials hope it will revitalize a tired downtown.

The New Jersey landfill redevelopment deal has been more problematic. Plans stalled as Cherokee, state officials and politicians wrangled over who should fund the cleanup costs. New Jersey’s inspector general is now investigating a Cherokee partner called EnCap Golf Holdings, and the state’s Sierra Club branch says putting housing atop unstable landfills is a bad idea. “It’s been an interesting learning experience,” says Darden, who brought Trump into the deal last fall in hope of moving the project along.

Cherokee and Darden are also working to help rebuild New Orleans’ Lower Ninth Ward with the actor Brad Pitt and the “green” architect William McDonough. Their joint project, called Make It Right, calls for building 150 affordable, environmentally-friendly homes.

Like all real estate firms, Cherokee has been affected by the subprime mortgage crisis, the resulting credit crunch and declining home prices. But because the firm is both a buyer and seller of real estate, the impact has been mixed. “It’s a fabulous time to be a buyer, and not a good time to have assets on the market,” Darden says. “I’m like the guy with his head in the oven and his feet in the freezer. I feel about average.”

BSE to pick up 26% stake in NMCE

The Bombay Stock Exchange plans to pick up 26% stake in Ahmedabad-based National Multi-Commodity Exchange of India Ltd (NMCE), an announcement of the formalisation of the tie-up is expected here tomorrow.

In June 2007, the Bombay Stock Exchange had approached the Forward Markets Commission (FMC), the commodities market watchdog, for buying 26% stake in NMCE. The valuation for the stake sale to BSE is not known, but the new capital infusion with a premium is expected to be around Rs 100 crore.

A senior BSE official, who did not wish to be identified, declined to comment on the value of the deal because of a confidentiality clause.

BSE might eventually take control of the management of the demutualised online commodity exchange, the official said.

The tie-up with BSE would help NMCE increase its trade volumes in agricultural and other commodities as it would then have access to the large BSE trading platform network besides its expertise in running a large bourse.

The BSE would become the second stock exchange, after the National Stock Exchange (NSE) which has a 15% interest in NCDEX, to hold a stake in a commodity exchange

Reliance Power announces 3:5 bonus ratio

Anil Ambani Group company Reliance Power will give free bonus shares in the ratio of 3:5 to all its shareholders to compensate the losses they suffered when the company was listed a fortnight ago.

Reliance Power today announced a bonus isse in the ratio of 3:5., i.e three free shares for every five shares held by a shareholder.

The company’s board had last Sunday announced its plans to issue bonus shares to all shareholders excluding the promoters.

The company had recently issued shares at Rs 450 while giving a discount Rs 20 a share to retail investors